Ascent Capital Management

 

 

 

 

 

2000/11/10

historical best utilization of our predictions:

buy (use margins) when PBS > 0.4, stay away from market when PBS < 0.4

do not sell short for the entire week based on predictions;

also: low PBS indicates (1) low certainty of our predictions and

(2) high volatility vs. directionality of the market

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!!! Model recommendations for the next week

 

S&P500 confidence level, PBS = +65%

buy with moderate confidence

NASDAQ confidence level, PBS = +60%

buy with moderate confidence

 

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Last modified: November 13, 2000